Projected Outcomes Using Different Nodule Sizes to Define a Positive CT Lung Cancer Screening Examination [1]
Data from the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) were examined by exploring different size thresholds for classifying CT screening scans as positive. In the NLST, nearly two-thirds of nodules were 7mm in diameter or less. Using a threshold of 5mm, the percentage of missed/delayed diagnosis and the likelihood of avoiding false positive findings were 1% and 16%. Using a threshold of 8mm increased those rates to 11% and 66%. Increasing size thresholds reduced follow-up CTs and invasive procedures. Interestingly, differences in thresholds did not affect survival or mortality.